PAGASA Warns of Prolonged Dry Spells Affecting 56 Provinces
PAGASA warned the duration of the El Niño phenomenon may extend beyond initial expectations, potentially impacting a total of 56 provinces by April.
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The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warned the duration of the El Niño phenomenon may extend beyond initial expectations, potentially impacting a total of 56 provinces by April.
As of the end of January, 14 provinces are projected to undergo a dry spell, with a concentration in Northern and Central Luzon, including agricultural areas such as Benguet, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Cagayan, and Nueva Ecija.
PAGASA’s Climate Monitoring and Prediction Chief, Ana Solmoro Solis, mentioned that areas already experiencing a dry spell in recent months may continue to face such conditions. Additionally, she highlighted the possibility of temperatures reaching as high as 40 degrees Celsius in parts of Northern Luzon.
In February, the impact of El Niño is expected to affect at least 27 provinces, with potential escalation to 44 provinces in March and reaching 56 provinces by April. This forecast suggests that the upcoming months may witness the hottest season in the country, particularly in Northern Luzon, with noticeable effects extending into the latter part of 2023.
PAGASA expressed concerns that the effects of the El Niño phenomenon could last longer than initially predicted. Despite having sufficient water supply for the Angat Dam, PAGASA emphasized the critical aspect of potential dry spell extensions or droughts beyond May.
An El Niño Alert was issued by PAGASA in May 2023, indicating an 80% probability of the phenomenon emerging in the following three months and persisting until the first quarter of 2024. Responding to the situation, President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. called for the establishment of a dedicated team to address the effects of El Niño.
The public is advised by the weather bureau to prioritize health and continue water conservation practices amid the prolonged impact of the El Niño phenomenon.